We are fortunate in northeast Florida in being somewhat protected from a direct hit from a hurricane. A combination of the location of the Bermuda high and our geography (i.e., Florida curves inward here) help. Doing some quick research reveals that hurricanes are not as frequent in north Florida as compared to south Florida. The location of the subtropical ridge (or Bermuda high pressure) generally extends right across the north Florida/Jacksonville area. This causes hurricanes to either pass well to the south and west of central and north Florida or curve east of Florida when there is a break in the ridge.
According to "Hurricane Watch" a book written by Jack Williams and Dr. Bob Sheets, there is a 1.9% probability of a major hurricane (111 mph or greater) passing within 75 miles of Jacksonville. That means in 100 years Jacksonville could see 2 major hurricanes. This is one of the lowest probabilities (if not the lowest) of any major coastal city in Florida. Compare this with 11.1% for Miami and 5.3% for Cape Hatteras, N.C. While Florida has a high occurrence of hurricanes, northeast Florida does not.
Please refer to the following link to view the number of hurricanes that have hit the states from 1900-2000.
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