Low Probability of Hurricanes

We are fortunate in northeast Florida in being somewhat protected from a direct hit from a hurricane. A combination of the location of the Bermuda high and our geography (i.e., Florida curves inward here) help. Doing some quick research reveals that hurricanes are not as frequent in north Florida as compared to south Florida. The location of the subtropical ridge (or Bermuda high pressure) generally extends right across the north Florida/Jacksonville area. This causes hurricanes to either pass well to the south and west of central and north Florida or curve east of Florida when there is a break in the ridge. 

According to "Hurricane Watch" a book written by Jack Williams and Dr. Bob Sheets, there is a 1.9% probability of a major hurricane (111 mph or greater) passing within 75 miles of Jacksonville. That means in 100 years Jacksonville could see 2 major hurricanes. This is one of the lowest probabilities (if not the lowest) of any major coastal city in Florida. Compare this with 11.1% for Miami and 5.3% for Cape Hatteras, N.C. While Florida has a high occurrence of hurricanes, northeast Florida does not. 

Please refer to the following link to view the number of hurricanes that have hit the states from 1900-2000. 




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Barbara Jenness

Barbara Jenness
Barbara B. Jenness, P.A.
Saint Augustine, FL 32084

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Barbara Jenness | 904-823-0027 | Contact Me
203 Porpoise Point Drive - Saint Augustine, FL 32084
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Barbara Jenness, ABR, e-PRO, GRI, TRC is a proud member of the ActiveRain Real Estate Network, a free online community to help real estate professionals grow their business.
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Barbara B. Jenness, P.A.

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Providing a superior level of informed, professional real estate services to buyers and sellers in the coastal areas of Northeast Florida including St. Johns County

(Ponte Vedra, St. Augustine, St. Augustine Beach, Vilano Beach, Porpoise Point, Crescent Beach), Duval County (Jacksonville Beach, Atlantic Beach, Neptune Beach), golf course & gated communities (Turtle Shores, Marsh Creek, Palencia & World Golf Village), the St. Johns River areas of Fruit Cove, Mandarin, Orangedale, & Palatka including foreclosures.
e-mail: Barbara@BarbaraJenness.com
Barbara B. Jenness, P.A., Licensed Real Estate Broker
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